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71.
72.
We propose a hierarchical modeling approach for explaining a collection of spatially referenced time series of extreme values.
We assume that the observations follow generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions whose locations and scales are jointly
spatially dependent where the dependence is captured using multivariate Markov random field models specified through coregionalization.
In addition, there is temporal dependence in the locations. There are various ways to provide appropriate specifications;
we consider four choices. The models can be fitted using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to enable inference for
parameters and to provide spatio–temporal predictions. We fit the models to a set of gridded interpolated precipitation data
collected over a 50-year period for the Cape Floristic Region in South Africa, summarizing results for what appears to be
the best choice of model.
相似文献
Alan E. GelfandEmail: |
73.
用大型底栖动物对珠江广州河段进行污染评价 总被引:19,自引:2,他引:19
本文利用大型底栖无脊椎动物对珠江广州河段的污染进行生物学评价。 两次调查中发现该河段底栖动物群落主要由水栖寡毛类、多毛类和软体动物中的河蚬(Corbicula fluminea)等三大类群组成。在多毛类少于40%情况下,寡毛类与河蚬的数量百分数呈显著的负相关。相关系数γ=-0.9639。 Shannon-Weaver种类多样性指数不能反映本河段底栖动物群落特征与污染的关系。根据本河段底栖动物群落结构的实际情况,提出下列生物污染指数公式。 生物污染指数=log(N_1 2)/[log(N_2 2) log(N_3 2)](N_1、N_2、N_3分别为寡毛类、多毛类和河蚬的数量)对本河段的污染现状予以评价。文中还就公式存在的问题作了简要讨论。 相似文献
74.
北疆250年地表水资源变化特征及未来趋势预测 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
本文从北疆年轮场重建了北疆250年的地表水资源,探讨气候-地表水资源-年轮之间的关系,分析地表水资源的长期变化特征,预测其变化趋势,为北疆地表水资源的研究与利用提供了新的参考依据。 相似文献
75.
将太原东山新沟垃圾填埋场矿化垃圾筛分为900~300μm、300~150μm、150~105μm、105~90μm和90~0μm共5个不同粒径范围,制备浸出液。在分析不同粒径矿化垃圾浸出液的理化指标基础上,研究了矿化垃圾浸出液对大麦和斑马鱼胚胎生长发育的影响。结果显示,矿化垃圾浸出液p H值随粒径的减小而减小,电导率、CODCr、全盐量和总氮则随粒径的减小而增大。矿化垃圾浸出液对大麦的萌发、根长和芽长均表现出抑制作用,且抑制作用随粒径的减小而显著增加,90~0μm抑制作用最强,具体表现为染毒1 d、2 d和3 d后,大麦种子处理组萌发率为对照组的39.74%、56.38%和59.81%;染毒3 d、5 d和7 d后,根长分别为对照组的57.08%、48.33%和41.66%;芽长分别为对照组的66.60%、64.79%和61.65%。斑马鱼胚胎暴露于不同粒径的矿化垃圾浸出液中,胚胎生长发育的毒害作用与粒径大小呈现明显负相关关系,即在最小粒径90~0μm处理后,卵凝结、血循环异常、孵化率、心包水肿及脊柱畸形影响作用达到最大,这5个指标值分别为40.28%、50.00%、51.39%、31.94%和29.17%。以上研究表明,矿化垃圾浸出液对大麦和斑马鱼胚胎生长发育的毒性效应与矿化垃圾粒径分布显著相关,小粒径矿化垃圾(90~0μm)的生态毒性效应最大。 相似文献
76.
利用氢基质生物膜反应器去除水中砷酸盐 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用氢基质生物膜反应器(Hydrogen-based membrane biofilm reactor,MBfR)研究了NO_3~--N负荷、SO_4~(2-)负荷、As(Ⅴ)负荷、氢分压对水中砷去除效果的影响.结果表明,随着NO_3~--N进水负荷的增加,As(Ⅴ)和SO_4~(2-)还原受到明显抑制,系统产生As(Ⅲ)和NO_2~-的积累;随着SO_4~(2-)进水负荷的增加,反应器内总砷去除率由78.6%(25 mg·L-1SO_4~(2-))降低至1.1%(200 mg·L~(-1)SO_4~(2-)),而此时NO_3~--N的去除基本不受影响.同时,随着进水As(Ⅴ)负荷从0.25 mg·L~(-1)增至2 mg·L~(-1),出水SO_4~(2-)浓度明显升高,反应器内总砷去除率从70.0%降低至47.3%,而此时NO_3~--N的去除基本不受影响;当氢分压低于0.06 MPa时,提高氢分压可降低出水As(Ⅴ)浓度,当氢分压高于0.06 MPa后便不再是控制因素.由于体系中氢自养还原微生物会优先利用NO_3~--N和SO_4~(2-)作为电子受体,因此,为了保证As(Ⅴ)的高效还原去除,必须控制氢分压在0.05~0.07 MPa之间. 相似文献
77.
78.
Myong Hwan Sohn Kyung Won Seo Yong Seok Choi Sang Joon Lee Young Sil Kang Yang Soon Kang 《Marine Biology》2011,158(3):561-570
The marine dinoflagellate Cochlodinium polykrikoides is a harmful and highly motile algal species. To distinguish between the motility characteristics of solitary and chain-forming
cells, the swimming trajectories and speeds of solitary cells and 2- to 8-cell chains of C. polykrikoides were measured using a digital holographic particle tracking velocimetry (PTV) technique. C. polykrikoides cells exhibited helical swimming trajectories similar to other dinoflagellate species. The swimming speed increased as the
number of cells in the chain increased, from an average of 391 μm s−1 (solitary cells) to 856 μm s−1 (8-cell chain). The helix radius R and pitch P also increased as the number of cells in the chain increased. R increased from 9.24 μm (solitary cell) to 20.3 μm (8-cell chain) and P increased from 107 μm (solitary cell) to 164 μm (8-cell chain). The free thrust-generating motion of the transverse flagella
and large drag reduction in the chain-forming cells seemed to increase the swimming speed compared to solitary cells. The
measured swimming speeds agreed with those from field observations. The superior motility of chain-forming C. polykrikoides cells may be an important factor for its bloom, in addition to the factors reported previously. 相似文献
79.
Yong Sik Ok Sang Soo Lee Weon-Tai Jeon Sang-Eun Oh Adel R. A. Usman Deok Hyun Moon 《Environmental geochemistry and health》2011,33(1):31-39
Liming materials have been used to immobilize heavy metals in contaminated soils. However, no studies have evaluated the use of eggshell waste as a source of calcium carbonate (CaCO3) to immobilize both cadmium (Cd) and lead (Pb) in soils. This study was conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of eggshell waste on the immobilization of Cd and Pb and to determine the metal availability following various single extraction techniques. Incubation experiments were conducted by mixing 0–5% powdered eggshell waste and curing the soil (1,246 mg Pb kg?1 soil and 17 mg Cd kg?1 soil) for 30 days. Five extractants, 0.01 M calcium chloride (CaCl2), 1 M CaCl2, 0.1 M hydrochloric acid (HCl), 0.43 M acetic acid (CH3COOH), and 0.05 M ethylendiaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA), were used to determine the extractability of Cd and Pb following treatments with CaCO3 and eggshell waste. Generally, the extractability of Cd and Pb in the soils decreased in response to treatments with CaCO3 and eggshell waste, regardless of extractant. Using CaCl2 extraction, the lowest Cd concentration was achieved upon both CaCO3 and eggshell waste treatments, while the lowest Pb concentration was observed using HCl extraction. The highest amount of immobilized Cd and Pb was extracted by CH3COOH or EDTA in soils treated with CaCO3 and eggshell waste, indicating that remobilization of Cd and Pb may occur under acidic conditions. Based on the findings obtained, eggshell waste can be used as an alternative to CaCO3 for the immobilization of heavy metals in soils. 相似文献
80.
Objective: In 2012, 4,743 pedestrians were killed in the United States, representing 14% of total traffic fatalities. The number of pedestrians injured was higher at 76,000. Therefore, 36 out of 52 of the largest cities in the United States have adopted a citywide target of reducing pedestrian fatalities. The number of cities adopting the reduction goal during 2011 and 2012 increased rapidly with 8 more cities. We examined the scaling relationship of pedestrian fatality counts as a function of the population size of 115 to 161 large U.S. cities during the period of 1994 to 2011. We also examined the scaling relationship of nonpedestrian and total traffic fatality counts as a function of the population size.Methods: For the data source of fatality measures we used Traffic Safety Facts Fatality Analysis Reporting System/General Estimates System annual reports published each year from 1994 to 2011 by the NHTSA. Using the data source we conducted both annual cross-sectional and panel data bivariate and multivariate regression models. In the construction of the estimated functional relationship between traffic fatality measures and various factors, we used the simple power function for urban scaling used by Bettencourt et al. (2007, 2010) and the refined STIRPAT (stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence, and technology) model used in Dietz and Rosa (1994, 1997) and York et al. (2003).Results: We found that the scaling relationship display diseconomies of scale or sublinear for pedestrian fatalities. However, the relationship displays a superlinear relationship in case of nonpedestrian fatalities. The scaling relationship for total traffic fatality counts display a nearly linear pattern. When the relationship was examined by the 4 subgroups of cities with different population sizes, the most pronounced sublinear scaling relationships for all 3 types of fatality counts was discovered for the subgroup of megacities with a population of more than 1 million.Conclusions: The scaling patterns of traffic fatalities of subgroups of cities depend on population sizes of the cities in subgroups. In particular, 9 megacities with populations of more than 1 million are significantly different from the remaining cities and should be viewed as a totally separate group. Thus, analysis of the patterns of traffic fatalities needs to be conducted within the group of megacities separately from the other cities with smaller population sizes for devising prevention policies to reduce traffic fatalities in both megacities and smaller cities. 相似文献